● Topics and Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
02:36 Recessions as viewed on the S&P 500 
11:45 How I’m going to spot the bottom: MMTH
15:29 How I’m going to spot the bottom: Effective Federal Funds Rate (Interest Rate) vs S&P bottoms
21:57 Bitcoin metrics will cause people to buy in too early
22:26 Backup plan: Golden Cross vs Death Cross
25:23 S&P 500 future projection 
28:40 CBBI (ColinTalksCrypto Bitcoin Bull Run Index)

Part 1:
- A BIG mistake many crypto investors are making right now is to only look at Bitcoin metrics (which DO look like we’re bottoming) and ignoring the macro economy (which look FAR from bottoming). One cannot ignore the macro economy!
- Why the bear market is likely to last 1+ more years and why I’m going to be patient and sit on my cash. We could have another 50% drop coming by the actual bottom.

Part 2:
- The few simple metrics I’m going to use to make sure I don’t miss the relative bottom.

Part 3:
- Why I’m not going to follow CBBI when buying.

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A secular bull market is a long-term bull market. Secular bull markets tend to last anywhere from ~15 to 20 years (or longer).
Market historians call these "secular" bull and bear markets from the Latin word saeculum "long period of time" (in contrast to aeternus "eternal" — the type of bull market we fantasize about).

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Disclaimer: This video is not financial or investment advice. Do not buy, sell or trade cryptocurrency, or make any financial decisions based on the content of this video. I am merely sharing what I have done and what I would do in various situations as an educational tool only.

#bitcoin #btc #stocks #spx #crypto #cryptocurrency #news #cbbi #blockchain #price

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